Jordan | Early Weather Alert.. Heavy and Regional Rainy Conditions Begin Late Month and Continue for Extended Period

Published 2023-10-21 · By Hasan Abdullah

Jordan | Early Weather Alert.. Heavy and Regional Rainy Conditions Begin Late Month and Continue for Extended Period

 WASM – The Kingdom is expected to be affected by a high-humidity tropical wave beginning at the end of this week, intensifying rapidly and reaching its peak between the end of this month and mid-November. This tropical wave is expected to cause large quantities of rainfall and sharp temperature fluctuations, followed by cold, rainy winter conditions later.

- This week is warm with light rain showers..
The Kingdom is experiencing a warm week with temperatures slightly above seasonal averages compared to the previous cold, humid, and occasionally rainy period. Cloud cover is expected to increase from Sunday through Tuesday, with light and sometimes thunderous rain showers expected, concentrated in the eastern desert region and southern Kingdom.

Unstable conditions at the end of the week..
The high-humidity tropical wave begins to affect the Kingdom later at the end of the week, with temperatures dropping slightly due to increasing clouds, rising humidity levels, and thunderstorm rainfall. Most regions of the Kingdom are expected to experience unstable conditions and heavy precipitation in some areas starting from the end of this week and the beginning of next week.

Weather conditions intensifying "rapidly" towards the end of the month..
The tropical wave deepens towards Egypt, western and northern Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Palestine, with periods affecting Iraq and Kuwait. This coincides with a cold air mass pushing into the eastern Mediterranean region, which increases the strength of atmospheric activity over the area. According to data from WASM Regional Climate Center's forecast model, weather conditions are expected to intensify, with severity levels rising from yellow to orange and red during the end of October through mid-November. This will be preceded by a slight temperature increase, which is characterized by "exceptional" and unprecedented accuracy compared to developed statistical climate models.

Cyclone to affect Yemen..
Southern Yemen, particularly its southeastern regions, is expected to be affected by a Category 2 cyclone that will result in flooding, strong winds, and significant wave heights during mid-this week. This cyclone will push a tropical wave that will concentrate over the Red Sea and western Saudi Arabia, and subsequently this tropical wave will advance directly towards northern Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, and the eastern Mediterranean region.

The climate model of WASM Regional Center succeeds with "exceptional" accuracy in detecting precise details of weather conditions during this month

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