WASM- The Kingdom is being affected by an early and strong start to the current rainy season, which is unusual compared to previous years. This is due to prevailing climate conditions and intensifying climate change impacts on the Kingdom, which have caused a significant increase in rainfall rates over recent years.
The Kingdom is expected to be affected by successive autumn rainy systems separated by short and temporary periods of stability. These autumn rainy weather conditions will become stronger during the second half of the month in certain periods, especially in the final days of the month.
The rainy weather conditions are expected to occur as follows..
From 1st to 9th of the month: Intermittent autumn rainy conditions amidst low temperatures close to November averages.
From 10th to 13th of the month: Temperatures rise slightly and temporarily with stable weather conditions and ahead of another weather system.
From 14th to 16th of the month: The Kingdom is affected by another rainy system, heavy in some areas, with a drop in temperatures.
From 17th to 20th of the month: Temperatures rise, weather stabilizes, and conditions become moderate to warm in general due to the extension of the Red Sea low-pressure system.
From 21st to 26th of the month: An active autumn period with unstable and turbulent atmosphere at times; these precipitations become heavy towards the end of the period.
From 29th to the beginning of the 11th: Weather conditions become strong and cause the formation of flash floods and localized flooding in many areas.
WASM Regional Center issues this monthly weather bulletin based on data from its climate model, which is characterized by high accuracy and detection of distant weather systems. The model's accuracy reached more than 80% in the previous month of September, and the climate model records an accuracy rate of up to 68%. WASM Regional Center is continuously working to develop it.