WASM- The Levant region is expected to experience more moderate weather conditions than usual throughout this summer with temperatures below seasonal averages, while Europe continues to be affected by strong and successive heat waves due to exceptional weather and climate conditions impacting the world, with continued above-normal heat persisting in the Arabian Peninsula region.
As summer begins, temperatures in most European regions are significantly higher than normal due to unusual jet stream behavior, which has facilitated the successive surge of hot winds toward Europe and the recording of record-breaking temperatures.
In contrast, the Levant region continues to experience temperatures below seasonal averages with milder conditions and cold waves and unseasonable weather fluctuations, with expectations that these weather conditions will persist throughout the summer with varying intensity.
The likelihood of hot periods increases, particularly during the second week of August, then declines afterward with indicators suggesting that summer will end earlier than usual.
The Arabian Peninsula is expected to experience a hot summer with above-normal temperatures, particularly in the eastern, central and southern regions, with rainy conditions expected to begin in southwestern Saudi Arabia at the end of summer and continue successively, extending throughout autumn to wide areas with severe rainfall intensity as the El Niño climate phenomenon intensifies.
El Niño phenomenon and continuous cooling over the North Atlantic|
The El Niño phenomenon is developing at an accelerated pace, and is expected to become very strong and may record unprecedented figures in recent climate records, however it is not the only exceptional climate phenomenon expected, as we continuously monitor continuous cooling over the North Atlantic for reasons that are completely unknown, perhaps the slowdown of the warm Gulf Stream current is a major cause of this or merely climate cycles that usually occur in the Atlantic Ocean every 30 years.
The cooling phenomenon in the North Atlantic region is considered one of the most dangerous climate phenomena in the coming months due to its significant impact on the polar jet stream in the Atlantic region and Europe, and because of its coincidence with the El Niño climate phenomenon, forecasts indicate a severe and significant impact on atmospheric circulation.
These climate factors combined with numerous other factors have led to extreme results in our climate model for the upcoming season in the Arabian Peninsula and Middle East regions.
