Update Date | 10‑10‑2026
WASM Regional Center – Weather instability is expected over the coming days across the Levant and northwestern Saudi Arabia (with a detailed forecast for each country below), along with flash‑flood risks in some areas, and a quasi‑winter low‑pressure system approaching the region by the end of the week.
Sharp weather fluctuations are expected in the coming days due to unstable atmospheric conditions over the Levant and northwestern Saudi Arabia. Thunderclouds will begin forming over southern and eastern Jordan, southeastern Syria, and northwestern Saudi Arabia, then extend into various parts of the Levant from Saturday through Monday. Flash‑flood risks will increase significantly in southern and eastern Jordan and northwestern Saudi Arabia, especially on Saturday and Sunday.
A quasi‑winter low‑pressure system is expected to approach the region by the end of the week, with details to be issued progressively.
The WASM Regional Center is monitoring a potentially intense, widespread rainfall event expected to begin during the last third of the month, with details to follow.
The detailed seasonal weather bulletin for the Arab region for 2026–2027 has been issued.
Weather Details for Each Region
Saudi Arabia, the Arabian Gulf, and the Arabian Peninsula
Weather instability will affect northwestern Saudi Arabia, especially Al‑Jouf, Tabuk, Qurayyat, northern Hail, and parts of the Northern Borders region, leading to thunderstorms and occasional strong winds. Thunderclouds will also persist and intensify over the highlands of Asir, Makkah, Taif, Al‑Baha, and western Madinah. Heavy rainfall is expected in parts of the Holy Capital (Makkah), with risks of water accumulation.
Rainfall may be heavy at times in parts of Al‑Jouf, eastern Tabuk, western Northern Borders, and Qurayyat, with flash‑flood risks especially on Saturday and Sunday.
Rain events will become more widespread, stronger, and heavier next week over northwestern Saudi Arabia, then expand further after mid‑month to reach parts of Kuwait, northern Al‑Qassim, and northeastern Saudi Arabia.
Temperatures will continue to drop across the region, tending toward cool conditions late at night in northern areas. Humidity levels will remain high along the coastal regions of Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, and Bahrain, with cloud cover and dust‑raising winds in exposed areas of Riyadh and the Eastern Province.
The Levant
Temperatures will rise noticeably as the Red Sea trough extends toward the region, causing marked weather fluctuations followed by several days of heavy rainfall starting Saturday. Rainfall will be concentrated over eastern and southern Jordan and eastern Syria, accompanied by flash‑flood risks and strong winds.
A significant drop in temperatures is expected later at the end of the week as a quasi‑winter low approaches, bringing widespread rainfall. A heavy, regional rainfall event is being monitored for the last third of the month.
Jordan
Weather remains generally warm and autumnal, tending toward cool conditions at night and early morning.
Thunderstorms will affect southern and eastern Jordan, extending from Saturday evening through Monday into various parts of the country. These showers are expected to be heavy in southern and eastern Jordan from Saturday through Monday, with flash‑flood risks.
Temperatures will drop noticeably at the end of the week with renewed rainfall in several areas due to the approaching quasi‑winter low. A heavy, regional rainfall event is being monitored for the last third of the month.
Syria
Autumnal warm weather continues, with instability especially in eastern Syria and parts of northwestern Syria. Thunderstorms may be heavy at times, intensifying from Saturday through Monday.
A significant drop in temperatures is expected as a quasi‑winter low approaches the region at the end of next week, bringing rainfall to various areas. Details will be issued progressively.
Palestine
Weather remains warm and autumnal during the day, mild at night and early morning, tending toward cool conditions in the highlands. Weather instability returns Sunday with scattered showers. Temperatures will drop significantly at the end of next week with rainfall due to the approaching quasi‑winter low.
Lebanon
Weather remains warm and autumnal, with expected scattered showers in various areas, especially on Sunday. Weather instability will intensify at the end of next week with heavy rainfall due to the approaching quasi‑winter low.
Iraq
Unstable autumnal weather continues, with thunderstorms in some areas—heavy in western Iraq with flash‑flood risks. Weather systems will intensify gradually after mid‑month, becoming very heavy.
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