WASM – Cold, winter‑like low‑pressure systems are expected in the middle and end of the week, with widespread rainfall events renewing gradually before mid‑month and affecting large parts of the Middle East once again.
- Cold, winter‑like, and heavily rainy low‑pressure systems will affect the Levant, Iraq, northern Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait during the second half of the week due to the rare early approach of polar winds toward the eastern Mediterranean.
- A second, deeper and more humid equatorial wave is being monitored for the second week of November, expected to bring additional heavy rainfall to the region, especially the Arabian Peninsula and Gulf countries.
- The current rainfall event has caused losses and fatalities in several areas across the Levant and Iraq. WASM was the only regional source that indicated this weather event early through its W.DMM model and its proprietary climate model.
The detailed seasonal weather bulletin for the Arab region for 2026–2027 has been issued.
Details of the Cold Low‑Pressure Systems During the Second Half of the Week
The current rainfall event continues and focuses on northern Saudi Arabia, parts of Kuwait, Iraq, Syria, and areas of eastern and northern Jordan at the beginning of the week, followed by a new peak starting in the second half of the week.
Several cold, heavily rainy winter low‑pressure systems are expected to develop, coinciding with the rare approach of polar winds to the region at this time of year. These cold systems will later coincide with the deepening of a highly humid equatorial wave from the Arabian Sea, leading to another new rainfall event before mid‑month.
Country‑by‑Country DetailsSaudi Arabia, Arabian Gulf, and Arabian Peninsula
Thunderstorm rainfall weakens but continues over parts of northern and western Saudi Arabia, northeastern regions, Iraq, and Kuwait.
Thunderstorm rainfall may extend into northern Riyadh and parts of the northern Eastern Province in scattered intervals.
Temperatures drop significantly in northern and northwestern Saudi Arabia, with early winter‑like conditions expected.
Heavy rainfall is expected to cover wide areas of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf region during the second week of November.
The Levant
Heavy rainfall renews especially over Syria and parts of Lebanon and Jordan on Saturday and Sunday, with high flash‑flood risks in central Syria.
The Levant will be affected by several cold, early winter low‑pressure systems starting the second half of next week, leading to renewed heavy rainfall across wide areas under cold, winter‑like conditions.
Jordan
The regional rainfall event temporarily weakens, with chances of scattered showers over parts of central, northern, and eastern Jordan at the beginning of the week.
Jordan will be affected by cold, heavily rainy winter systems starting the second half of next week, coinciding with cold, winter‑like weather.
Heavy rainfall persists intermittently until the first half of November, with no significant breaks or stable periods expected during the coming month.
Syria
The heavy regional rainfall event continues for a long period—until the first half of November—under cold, winter‑like conditions.
Heavy rainfall renews across wide areas of Syria on Saturday and Sunday, with high flash‑flood risks in central Syria.
Several regions of Syria are expected to record record rainfall amounts due to successive heavy rainfall waves and persistent low‑pressure systems.
Polar winds will approach the region during the second half of next week, bringing heavy rainfall and cold winter weather.
Palestine
Temperatures drop significantly by the end of the week as scattered rainfall continues. Heavy rainfall renews during the second half of next week, especially with the expected approach of polar winds.
The rainfall event persists until the first half of November.
Lebanon
A deep low‑pressure system affects Lebanon at the end of the week, with large rainfall amounts expected. The severe rainfall event continues for a long period, with increasing chances of snowfall over high mountains later in early November—very early in the season.
Iraq
Thunderstorm rainfall renews over the coming days in the form of heavy showers across various regions. More widespread and heavier rainfall returns during the second half of the week, with high flash‑flood risks.
The rainfall event continues through the first half of November, with record rainfall amounts expected in some regions.
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