WASM - The WASM Regional Center is monitoring the continuation of cold weather conditions and sharp weather fluctuations during the holy month, particularly during the beginning and until mid-month, and renewing clearly during the end of the holy month "with greater intensity" based on the center's climate model data.
In the details, atmospheric circulation remains similar over the coming few weeks, as a strong high-pressure system continues over most European regions, resulting in the continuation of volatile weather conditions and intermittent rainfall, with temperatures below seasonal averages.
Strong atmospheric high over the European continent|
The strong atmospheric high pressure continues to affect most European regions over the coming few weeks, resulting in continued surges of cold air masses toward the Eastern Mediterranean basin, reflecting cold and rainy weather conditions at intervals during the holy month.
A notably delayed start to spring season|
As a result of the "seasonal transition" phenomenon, which causes the concentration of atmospheric depressions and strong weather conditions during the second half of the rainy season, this is expected to cause a delay in the start of spring compared to previous years, with weather conditions during the coming period resembling cold and rainy winter weather.
Indicators of polar wave renewal|
The continuation of polar wave activity until the end of March is not considered unusual for Jordan and Eastern Mediterranean climate, especially in recent years, and based on the results, the chances of this are very high during the end of the holy month.
Scientific analyses with the results of WASM Regional Center's climate model|
The stability of atmospheric organization during the coming period is an unusual matter, especially with the continued obvious activity of North Atlantic storms as a result of rising water temperatures in the North Atlantic in recent years and as a result of climate change.
The activity of North Atlantic storms will continuously expose the European continent to warmer southern wind activity that is warmer and sometimes driven from North Africa, and with the continued significant weakness of the subtropical jet stream in North African regions, this will greatly increase the chances of khamsin depressions coinciding with the approach of extremely cold polar air masses from Eastern Europe and the Eastern Mediterranean.
In fact, this greatly increases the indicators of continued major and effective weather activity over most Middle Eastern and Eastern Mediterranean regions during the coming weeks and for a late period of the spring season.