WASM Regional Center | Monitoring a winter storm expected to affect a wide range of the eastern Mediterranean at the end of the month

Published 2023-01-21 · By Hasan Abdullah

WASM Regional Center | Monitoring a winter storm expected to affect a wide range of the eastern Mediterranean at the end of the month

WASM - WASM Regional Center is monitoring a strong winter storm expected to affect a wide range of Eastern Mediterranean countries and the Levant, gradually approaching the Kingdom, resulting in heavy precipitation, widespread floods, low temperatures, and strong winds.

In detail, temperatures will drop significantly over the coming days coinciding with strong winds, increased cloud cover, and light rainfall in various areas of the Kingdom.

Starting from the end of the week (Friday and Saturday), the winter storm will begin to affect a wide range of Eastern Mediterranean countries and the Levant and will start approaching the Kingdom, with rain falling in various areas coinciding with a noticeable drop in temperatures and active winds.

The winter storm is expected to intensify at the end of the month and beginning of February and will continue for several days, affecting the Kingdom and wide areas of Eastern Mediterranean countries, northern Arabian Peninsula, Iraq, reaching northern Egypt, Iran, and Turkey. This winter storm is expected to cause significant damage in many sectors across various countries in the region due to its strength, area of impact, and lengthy duration.

WASM will continue to monitor all details regarding the expected storm in the Eastern Mediterranean region at the end of the month and will issue details of its impact on Jordan and the possibility of snowfall.

WASM Regional Center | The rainy season is still good and rainfall quantities exceed their averages in many areas.
Incorrect information continues to spread through media outlets about the rainy season, which remains good, especially in central and southern parts of the Kingdom. WASM advises caution regarding some media outlets that spread misleading and incorrect information about the nature of the current and past rainy seasons, which continue to report on the absence of rainy conditions since the end of December, whereas 5 weather systems have affected Jordan, including 2 strong ones, and a winter storm is expected to affect the Kingdom at the end of the month bringing large amounts of rain, God willing.

Is the current stability normal?
The current weather stability is considered normal and typical, classified within "short" winter stability periods that occur annually in every rainy season habitually, and is not an indicator of declining rainfall rates or an impending drought wave. Similar stability periods have recurred during previous seasons, most notably the historic and famous 1991-1992 season which witnessed prolonged stability during January. The cause of these stable periods is due to the cyclic nature of the atmosphere, and WASM issued in its monthly bulletin a forecast of a stable period in the third week of January describing it as customary and expected.

The current forty-day period started with flood waves—will it end with the white visitor?
It was noted that the current forty-day period began with a strong wave of floods lasting 3 weeks that caused infrastructure losses and posed a threat to lives, with the central and southern areas being the most affected. Will it end with a wave of snow during its final days and fulfill what the ancestors once saw?

WASM Center's climate model monitors all weather systems in January with great accuracy

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